Central banks pushed back against the markets hawkish interest rate expectations last week. RBA started the week and set the tone. While ending the yield curve control, any decision to raise interest rats in 2022 was called a complete overreaction. This pushed AUD to be the worst performer of the week.
However the largest surprise came from the BOE not rising rates in their announcement later in the week. The market had priced in a 15bps rate rise and a further 25bps rise in December after announcement earlier that monetary policy will have to act. the market has now priced in a 25bps rise in December.
The EUR continued its downward momentum only regaining some of its poise late on Friday. However EUR is still expected to continue its fall vs the USD. The Fed meeting last week continued the dovish tone from the Central Bankers, with any potential rate rise into mid to late 2022.
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